Author: Martin Su
Date: 06-13-12 15:06
There are world events that appear to make absolutely no sense. You are left scratching your head. I would like to present my understanding of these puzzling world events.
In this post, I want to address the issue of the Dalai Lama. Why would weak middle-sized European countries recurrently poke China in the eye over the Dalai Lama? They know China will retaliate and yet, the Europeans persist in their effort (see second citation below). Why?
The Europeans are assisting the United States in supporting the Dalai Lama. Similarly, India is willing to bear the brunt of Chinese anger by supporting the separatist Dalai Lama. What is the strategic goal that the U.S., Europe, and India are trying to achieve?
The strategic value of Tibet is its function as an unassailable Chinese thermonuclear ballistic missile base (see video below). Tibet lies well within China's hinterland and it is virtually impregnable. Tibet is 1.22 million square kilometers or twice the size of France.
The Chinese thermonuclear missiles will have long left for their targets in the U.S., Europe, and India before any American fighter can come within a thousand miles of the Chinese silos and mobile launch sites.
It is impossible to militarily attack China's heartland. If the West sufficiently provokes China then hundreds of megatons of Chinese thermonuclear firepower will be unloaded upon them.
Therefore, the West persists in a multi-decade pursuit of a subtle effort to pry Tibet from China. The first goal is to install the Dalai Lama as the putative autonomous leader of Tibet. He is merely a puppet supported financially by his Western masters. They call the shots. The next step is for the Dalai Lama to declare independence.
Through non-military means, the West has achieved its military goal of removing Chinese thermonuclear ballistic missiles from Tibet. Pretty clever strategy, is it not?
[Note: In my next post for this thread, we will discuss the exciting questions of "Why did Georgia attack Russian peacekeepers? What was the scenario and strategic goal that the West wanted to achieve?" I will touch on Zbigniew Brzezinski, Afghanistan, Chechnya, and Pakistan.
In my third post, I will cover Boris Yeltsin's misjudgment of the West and Russia's lost decade.
In my fourth post, I will examine why U.S. can't win wars and the role of Rules of Engagement (ROE).
In my fifth post, I will update the scorecard on China vs. U.S. competition. Their strategies are completely different. Who's winning?]
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VIDEO of Chinese Tibetan ballistic missile silo bases: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTJF3wa12Os
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/china/9326832/China-suspends-ministerial-meetings-with-Britain-over-Dalai-Lama-row.html
"China suspends ministerial meetings with Britain over Dalai Lama row
By Malcolm Moore, Beijing
9:00PM BST 12 Jun 2012
China has indefinitely suspended minister-level meetings with Britain in protest at David Cameron's decision to meet the Dalai Lama.
http://i.imgur.com/lTtpC.jpg
Lord Green, the Trade and Investment minister, and Jeremy Browne, the Foreign Office minister, saw planned meetings with Chinese ministers either cancelled or palmed off on junior officials. (Photo: Rex / EPA)
Two government ministers have been snubbed on their trips to Beijing in the last month.
Lord Green, the Trade and Investment minister, and Jeremy Browne, the Foreign Office minister, saw planned meetings with Chinese ministers either cancelled or palmed off on junior officials.
Lord Green, who was visiting China as the head of a trade mission, was reportedly unable to meet with the Ministry of Commerce or with the powerful National Development and Reform Commission, which sets a course for the country's economy.
"What has happened is that things that are normally handled at ministerial level being downgraded or cancelled," said one diplomatic source.
"In some cases the Chinese have said it was because of the [Prime Minister's] meeting with the Dalai Lama, at other times they said they were sorry but something had come up," he added.
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In addition, Wu Bangguo, China's most senior diplomat, called off a planned trip to Britain in May, and it is unclear whether the Prime Minister will be able to make a planned trip to Beijing at the end of the year.
One British businessman in Beijing, who asked not to be named, said British companies may also be targeted.
"The message has definitely been sent out through the Communist party channels," he said. "But it is difficult to link any particular negative action directly to the meeting, of course".
Meetings between British and Chinese officials are continuing at a lower level, however, and some significant deals are still being discussed. London is poised to become a major trading hub for the Chinese yuan and a state-owned Chinese power company is bidding to build new nuclear power stations in the UK.
Mr Cameron met "privately" with Tibet's spiritual leader in May when the Dalai Lama visited to collect the £1.1 million Templeton prize, which he subsequently donated to Save the Children.
Every British prime minister since Sir John Major has met the Dalai Lama.
Baroness Thatcher refused to meet the Tibetan leader, saying that "the interests of Hong Kong have to be taken into account".
British officials were aware that the Chinese would respond aggressively, but there are now worries over how long the frostiness will continue.
The Dalai Lama is due to return to Britain on Thursday for a 10-day, pre-Olympic tour of various British cities. How the trip unfolds could have a significant effect on Sino-British relations, said sources in Beijing.
In addition, pro-Tibet protests have been planned for the Olympic Games.
In the wake of Mr Cameron's meeting, the state-run Global Times newspaper called for China to suspend all diplomatic relations "for a while". It added that China is now strong enough to bear the economic consequences of freezing relations.
"During the Olympics, China should cool down a little bit and we should also slow some co-operative projects between the two countries.
This will have a cost to China, but it will have a negative effect on Cameron's government," it said. "Chinese is against foreign leaders meeting the Dalai Lama and it has become routine to have a strong response both in trade and politics".
After Nicholas Sarkozy, the then French president, met the Dalai Lama in 2008, it took France roughly two years to normalise relations with Beijing. The Chinese also believe Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, acted duplicitously by meeting the Dalai Lama shortly after a trip to Beijing in 2010.
However, sources in Beijing said the situation is not as dire as the fallout between Norway and China over the award of the Nobel Peace Prize to Liu Xiaobo in 2010. Since then, Norwegian diplomats have found themselves entirely unable to speak to their Chinese counterparts.
A Foreign Office spokesman said: 'This is disappointing as we believe that it damages both Chinese and British interests. We strongly believe it is in the interests of both countries to manage our differences sensibly and co-operate as much as possible.'"
Martin Su
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