Date: 03-05-12 22:02
Putin re-elected - stronger bond with China to follow?
It looks like Putin is re-elected the president of Russia. This has been widely expected. With Putin re-elected it is likely that Russia will now turn even further away from accommodation with the West or be evenmore confrontational with the US. It seems the wheel has gone a full cycle.
When Gorbachev collapsed the USSR it ushered in 2 decades of collapse and downward spiral. From all accounts Russia became a nation dominated by thugs who gained control of the natural resources especially oil and gas. And its military had deteriorated with no new generation of weapons being developed. They only try to sell as many of their older technologies developed during the USSR era such as Su-27 and its derivatives such as Su-30. Even their new 5th generation fightr has been universally rated as inferior to China's J-20. The only high tech thing Russia now sells that China want to buy are its jet engines. And with the Chinese jet engines mproving raidly such as WS-10, WS-15, etc. it will be soon when China can be fully self-sufficient in all its miltary technologies and need no longer to buy anything from Russia.
But this does not mean Russia is not of vital importance to China. It is obvious that China and Russia are both of the greatest importance to each other. When Gorbachev shifted to the West in the 1980's it quickly collapsed the USSR. China fought a war against Vietnam in 1979 as a proxy against USSR. And within some 10 years the USSR collapsed. When Putin first came to power he started Russia on its way ackup. But after Medvedev became president he shifted Russia to the West again. And again Russi underwent another period of decline. So now that Putin is back again in control of Russia it is likely that China and Russia will again improve their relationship.
China and Russia are back to back geographically. China's threat is from the east while Russia's threat is from the west. It is logical that they protect each other's back thus assuring security for each other. Russia also has vast natural resources such as timber and other minerals while China will increasingly be able to advance its indigenous technologies and produce all the consumer goods in the world especially high end electroic consumer goods that Russian consumers would like to have. And while China is demonized and marginalized by the West, Russia is also marinalized by the West. If either try to join the Western Club it will be treated as inferior. But if China and Russia can forge a strong strategic partnership then both will be very important to each othe and to the rest of the world. Therefore, based on economics, military security and national honor and prestige it is natural for China and Russia to forge a strong bond.